Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 07 Jan 2010

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 007 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1040 (N28E59)
was numbered today. This region has produced low level B-class
flares and is a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare
from Region 1040.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (08-10
January).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Jan 078
Predicted 08 Jan-10 Jan 079/080/080
90 Day Mean 07 Jan 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jan 000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jan 001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/00