Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Mar 2009

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Mar 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. New Region 1014 (S04E00) was numbered today and is classified as a Bxo beta.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the forecast period (07 – 09 March).

III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 06 Mar 069
• Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 070/070/070
• 90 Day Mean 06 Mar 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 003/003
• Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 005/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 05/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/10/10
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01