Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 065 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

III. Event Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 06 Mar 074
• Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 075/075/075
• 90 Day Mean 06 Mar 082

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 001/002
• Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 006/007
• Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 005/008-005/010-010/015

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 10/10/20
• Minor storm 05/05/10
• Major-severe storm 01/01/05

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/30/35
• Minor storm 05/15/20
• Major-severe storm 01/05/10