Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Jul 2008

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Jul 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 188 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jul 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through the period (07 – 09 July).

III. Event Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 06 Jul 066
• Predicted 07 Jul-09 Jul 066/066/066
• 90 Day Mean 06 Jul 068

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jul 007/007
• Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jul 003/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jul-09 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jul-09 Jul

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 05/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/10/10
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01