Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Dec 2005
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2005 Dec 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Dec 2005
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible on 07 December.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
- Class M 10/05/05
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 06 Dec 089
- Predicted 07 Dec-09 Dec 090/090/085
- 90 Day Mean 06 Dec 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 05 Dec 002/002
- Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Dec 003/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec 008/010-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 20/15/15
- Minor storm 10/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 25/15/20
- Minor storm 10/05/10
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01