Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Aug 2008

By SpaceRef Editor
August 8, 2008
Filed under , , ,

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Aug 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The solar disk was spotless. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (7 August), and unsettled to active on days two and three (8-9 August). The increase in activity is forecast due to a corotatng interaction region.

III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 06 Aug 067
  • Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 066/066/066
  • 90 Day Mean 06 Aug 067

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 003/003
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 005/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 007/008-010/015-015/020

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 10/30/35
  • Minor storm 01/01/05
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 15/30/40
  • Minor storm 01/15/20
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/05

SpaceRef staff editor.