Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Aug 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
August 6, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 06 Aug 2006
http://images.spaceref.com/news/sun.6.jpg

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Aug 06 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. The disk remains spotless. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active periods are possible on 08 August due to a recurrent coronal hole.

III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 06 Aug 070
  • Predicted 07 Aug-09 Aug 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 06 Aug 076

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug 002/004
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Aug 002/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug 008/010-010/012-008/010

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug-09 Aug A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 20/20/20
  • Minor storm 05/10/05
  • Major-severe storm 01/05/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 20/25/20
  • Minor storm 10/15/10
  • Major-severe storm 05/05/05

SpaceRef staff editor.