- Status Report
- Jan 29, 2023
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Oct 2007
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2007 Oct 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the forecast period, 06 – 08 October.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 05 Oct 068
- Predicted 06 Oct-08 Oct 067/067/067
- 90 Day Mean 05 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct 008/010
- Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct 004/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 004/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 15/15/15
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 20/15/15
- Minor storm 15/10/10
- Major-severe storm 05/05/05