Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Mar 2009

By SpaceRef Editor
March 5, 2009
Filed under , , ,

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2009 Mar 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 064 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Mar 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. The visible disk was spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the forecast period (06 – 08 March).

III. Event Probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 05 Mar 069
  • Predicted 06 Mar-08 Mar 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 05 Mar 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 04 Mar 005/007
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Mar 005/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 05/05/05
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 10/10/10
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.