Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Jul 2008

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Jul 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. The visible disk remained spotless.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the forecast period (06 – 08 July).

III. Event Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 05 Jul 065
• Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 066/066/066
• 90 Day Mean 05 Jul 068

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 003/004
• Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 008/008
• Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 10/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 15/10/10
• Minor storm 00/00/00
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01