Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Feb 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Feb 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 036 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Feb 2006
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet with a chance for some unsettled intervals for 06 February. Quiet levels should predominate for 07-08 February.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Feb-08 Feb
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 05 Feb 076
- Predicted 06 Feb-08 Feb 077/077/077
- 90 Day Mean 05 Feb 087
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 04 Feb 003/004
- Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Feb 003/003
- Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Feb-08 Feb 005/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Feb-08 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 20/20/20
- Minor storm 10/10/10
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 20/20/20
- Minor storm 15/15/15
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01