Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Aug 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
August 6, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 05 Aug 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Aug 05 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity remains at very low levels. No spotted regions were observed on the disk during the past 24 hours. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quite levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active periods may be possible on 08 August with the onset of a recurrent coronal hole.

III. Event Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 05 Aug 070
  • Predicted 06 Aug-08 Aug 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 05 Aug 076

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug 002/003
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug 002/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 005/008-008/010-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 10/20/20
  • Minor storm 05/05/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/05

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 20/20/25
  • Minor storm 05/10/15
  • Major-severe storm 01/05/05

SpaceRef staff editor.