Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 04 Aug 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Aug 04 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Aug 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The solar disk is spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on days one and two (5-6 July) and quiet to unsettled on day three (7 July).
III. Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 04 Aug 066
- Predicted 05 Aug-07 Aug 066/066/066
- 90 Day Mean 04 Aug 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug 003/004
- Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 01/01/10
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 01/01/15
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01