Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 04 Aug 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
August 5, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 04 Aug 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Aug 04 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 216 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. There were no spotted regions observed today. No new regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.

III. Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 04 Aug 070
  • Predicted 05 Aug-07 Aug 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 04 Aug 077

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug 005/006
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug 003/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug 003/005-005/008-005/010

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 10/10/10
  • Minor storm 01/05/05
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 15/20/20
  • Minor storm 05/05/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/05

SpaceRef staff editor.