Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Nov 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Nov 03 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1007 (N35W38) produced a C1.6 flare at 1119Z. Region 1007 is a beta magnetic configuration and has grown slightly from approximately 20 millionths to 80 millionths.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Region 1007 has a chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06 November).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 03 Nov 070
- Predicted 04 Nov-06 Nov 069/069/069
- 90 Day Mean 03 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov 002/002
- Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 05/05/05
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 10/10/10
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01