Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 03 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (04 – 06 March).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (04 – 06 March).

III. Event Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 03 Mar 076
• Predicted 04 Mar-06 Mar 077/077/077
• 90 Day Mean 03 Mar 083

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar 004/004
• Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Mar 004/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar 005/005-010/012-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 20/25/20
• Minor storm 10/15/10
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 20/25/20
• Minor storm 15/20/15
• Major-severe storm 01/05/01