Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Jun 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jun 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jun 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Three low-level B-class
flares occurred during the past 24 hours. Region 1019 (N26E03)
continues to have a few sunspots, but is a simple B-type group and
was stable and quiet during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (4 June) due to
possible effects from recurrent activity. Conditions are expected to
be quiet for the second and third days (5-6 June).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jun 073
Predicted 04 Jun-06 Jun 073/073/073
90 Day Mean 03 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jun 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jun 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01