Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Jul 2004
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2004 Jul 03 2210 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2004
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. All regions on the visible
disk are small and relatively inactive.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 03 Jul 080
- Predicted 04 Jul-06 Jul 080/080/080
- 90 Day Mean 03 Jul 098
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul 008/009
- Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul 008/009
- Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 008/010-008/010-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 15/15/25
- Minor storm 05/05/05
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 30/30/30
- Minor storm 15/15/15
- Major-severe storm 05/05/05
