Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Jan 2010

By SpaceRef Editor
January 3, 2010
Filed under , , ,

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jan 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 003 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jan 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1039 (S29W59) produced
two C-class flares during the forecast period. This region remains a
D-type sunspot group with a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a likely chance of a C-class flare from Region
1039.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (04 – 06 January).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jan 076
Predicted 04 Jan-06 Jan 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 03 Jan 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jan 001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jan 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jan-06 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.