Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Aug 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
August 3, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 03 Aug 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Aug 03 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 215 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.

III. Event Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 03 Aug 071
  • Predicted 04 Aug-06 Aug 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 03 Aug 077

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 02 Aug 007/010
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Aug 005/008
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Aug-06 Aug 003/005-003/005-005/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Aug-06 Aug

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 10/10/15
  • Minor storm 05/05/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 15/15/20
  • Minor storm 10/10/10
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.