Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 02 Nov 2008
Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Nov 02 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1007 (N35W25), a beta magnetic configuration, has eight spots visible in white light. A CME was observed on the west limb at approximately 03:30Z, but is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. Region 1007 has a slight chance of producing a C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (03 – 05 November).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
- Class M 01/01/01
- Class X 01/01/01
- Proton 01/01/01
- PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
- Observed 02 Nov 069
- Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 069/069/069
- 90 Day Mean 02 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
- Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 000/001
- Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/005
- Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
- Active 05/05/05
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
- Active 10/10/10
- Minor storm 01/01/01
- Major-severe storm 01/01/01