Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 02 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 02 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 061 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low for the next three days (03-05 March).

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (03-05 March).

III. Event Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 02 Mar 076
• Predicted 03 Mar-05 Mar 077/077/077
• 90 Day Mean 02 Mar 083

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 01 Mar 005/007
• Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Mar 005/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Mar-05 Mar 005/008-005/005-010/012

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Mar-05 Mar A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 20/20/25
• Minor storm 15/15/15
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 20/20/25
• Minor storm 10/10/20
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01