Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 02 Jun 2009

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2009 Jun 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 153 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1019 (N28E15)
produced a B1 flare at 02/0639Z. This region retained its beta
magnetic configuration, with a slight decay in areal coverage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated active levels at
high latitudes, on 03-04 June due to a recurrent corona hole high
speed stream. Quiet conditions are expected to return on 05 June.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jun 072
Predicted 03 Jun-05 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 02 Jun 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jun 002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01