Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 01 Nov 2008

By SpaceRef Editor
November 1, 2008
Filed under , , ,

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2008 Nov 01 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed. Region 1007 (N35W10) remains stable.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels for the next three days (02 – 04 November).

III. Event Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 01 Nov 067
  • Predicted 02 Nov-04 Nov 069/069/069
  • 90 Day Mean 01 Nov 067

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct 005/006
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov 005/005
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov

A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 05/05/05
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 10/10/10
  • Minor storm 01/01/01
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.