Status Report

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 01 Aug 2006

By SpaceRef Editor
August 1, 2006
Filed under , , ,
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 01 Aug 2006
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Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Aug 01 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed has been decreasing after a peak of approximately 650 km/s at 01/1300 UTC, down to approxmately 550 km/s at time of issue.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (02 – 04 August).

III. Event Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug

  • Class M 01/01/01
  • Class X 01/01/01
  • Proton 01/01/01
  • PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  • Observed 01 Aug 073
  • Predicted 02 Aug-04 Aug 070/070/070
  • 90 Day Mean 01 Aug 077

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

  • Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul 011/012
  • Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug 013/015
  • Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 008/010-005/008-003/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug A. Middle Latitudes

  • Active 20/15/10
  • Minor storm 10/10/05
  • Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

  • Active 25/20/15
  • Minor storm 15/15/10
  • Major-severe storm 05/01/01

SpaceRef staff editor.