Eastern Range Operations Forecast 6 Jun 2003
Eastern Range Operations Forecast Op Number: F7326
Issued: 6 Jun 03 (0700 EDT)
Valid: 8 Jun 03 (2:05 p.m., 2:44 p.m. EDT)
Vehicle/Payload: Delta II / MER-A
Location: Pad 17-A
Launch Weather Officer: Joel Tumbiolo
Synoptic Discussion:
Once again, no changes to current forecast reasoning. Subtropical ridge will be the dominant large scale feature in control, with a weak frontal boundary located over northern FL. This boundary will keep the low level high pressure ridge axis south of the area through mid next week. This will result in the continuation of south-southwesterly flow throughout the atmosphere. Moisture levels will remain high, and will provide the fuel for daily afternoon thunderstorms. Daytime heating, in addition to local sea and lake breezes will be the triggers for thunderstorm development. Main concerns during will be cumulus clouds and developing thunderstorms within in the vicinity of the launch pad/flight path.
Clouds Coverage Bases (feet) Tops (feet) BKN030 5/8 3,000 10,000 BKN100 5/8 10,000 18,000 BKN180 6/8 18,000 25,000
Visibility: 7 miles
Wind: 150 degrees / 10 – 15 KTS Pressure: 30.00 IN HG
Temperature: 82 F – 84 F RH: 70%
Weather: Showers and thunderstorms in the vicinity
Solar Activity: N/A
Overall probability of violating weather constraints: 60%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule
Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 24 hour delay: 60%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule
Overall probability of violating weather constraints for 48 hour delay: 60%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus Cloud Rule, Lightning Rule
Sunrise:
- 8 June 03 / 0625 EDT
- 9 June 03 / 0625 EDT
- 10 June 03 / 0625 EDT
Moonrise/ (% illum):
- 8 June 03 / 1411 EDT / %
- 9 June 03 / 1514 EDT / %
- 10 June 03 / 1619 EDT / %
Sunset:
- 8 June 03 / 2018 EDT
- 9 June 03 / 2019 EDT
- 10 June 03 / 2019 EDT
Moonset:
- 9 June 03 / 0247 EDT
- 10 June 03 / 0321 EDT
- 11 June 03 / 0358 EDT
Next forecast will be issued: 7 June 03
