A Machine Learns to Predict the Stability of Tightly Packed Planetary Systems

Daniel Tamayo, Ari Silburt, Diana Valencia, Kristen Menou, Mohamad Ali-Dib, Cristobal Petrovich, Chelsea X. Huang, Hanno Rein, Christa van Laerhoven, Adiv Paradise, Alysa Obertas, Norman Murray
(Submitted on 17 Oct 2016)

The requirement that planetary systems be dynamically stable is often used to vet new discoveries or set limits on unconstrained masses or orbital elements. This is typically carried out via computationally expensive N-body simulations. We show that characterizing the complicated and multi-dimensional stability boundary of tightly packed systems is amenable to machine learning methods. We find that training a state-of-the-art machine learning algorithm on physically motivated features yields an accurate classifier of stability in packed systems. On the stability timescale investigated (107 orbits), it is 3 orders of magnitude faster than direct N-body simulations. Optimized machine learning classifiers for dynamical stability may thus prove useful across the discipline, e.g., to characterize the exoplanet sample discovered by the upcoming Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS).

Comments: Submitted to ApJ letters. Comments welcome. 7 pages, 3 figures
Subjects: Earth and Planetary Astrophysics (astro-ph.EP)
Cite as: arXiv:1610.05359 [astro-ph.EP] (or arXiv:1610.05359v1 [astro-ph.EP] for this version)
Submission history
From: Daniel Tamayo [view email]
[v1] Mon, 17 Oct 2016 21:12:01 GMT (109kb,D)
https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.05359