Yuri Koptev and Yuri Semenov comments on ISS and Mir
About the meeting of Rosaviacosmos Director General Yu.N. Koptev and S.P.Korolev RSC Energia President and Designer General, Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences Yu.P.Semenov with the deputies of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation and journalists after the docking of Progress M-44 logistics vehicle with ISS
Yu.N. KOPTEV: Some people suggest:
“Let’s use this logistics vehicle to boost the orbit, then
we’ll have two months to make a decision”.
This brings up the question: what decision? Are we going to gain
anything new in these two months, when we have been working this
problem since 1997? Given the condition of the station, the next
launch will have to be made in April.
The results of the trajectory analysis are known to many. And the
results are such that even a large logistics vehicle can only raise
the orbit by 50 kilometers. In order to get to a parking orbit,
that is, an orbit, which would guarantee several years of survival,
we would need more than one such vehicle.
Let’s assume, theoretically, the following procedure: we’ll build
a new core module. And to maintain the station in orbit, while the
core module is being built, we’ll raise the orbit. This would require
at least 5 to 6 logistics vehicles.
The current cost of launching one logistic vehicle is about 300
million rubles. In all fairness, I would like to remind you that
when the Council of Chief Designers was reviewing all these problems
on October 3, among the issues reviewed were all the necessary plans:
how to lay out the further program. And, quite reasonably, they
raised the issue of the need to perform certain procedures, namely:
a decision must be made at the Government level, a Directive must
be released, funds must be allocated, and so forth.
Does the option of replacing MIR core module make sense? |
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Yu.N. KOPTEV: | A new core module can be built. The average estimate is that it’ll take 4 to 5 years. If you recall how long it took to build previous modules, it takes considerably longer than that. The cost of a core module is on the order of 200 to 300 million dollars. And since we address this issue, this brings up a question: why should we do this? If we are so rich and we have the means, let’s build a new space station. Or, at least, let’s meet our commitments towards International Space Station, which, by the way, we don’t meet too well.
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About governmental support for the work needed to complete MIR operation |
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Yu.N. KOPTEV: | The fact that in the end of 1999 the State Duma was planning to allocate 1.5 billion rubles to MIR, and we, allegedly, turned down this offer, is being constantly overplayed.
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On the development of the MIR situation over the last few years |
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For the most part, I agree with what Yuri Koptev has just said.
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Appraisal of the movement to save MIR |
Yu.P. SEMENOV: | The fact that all the public, the entire political community rose to the defense of MIR as the pride of the nation inspires my respect. This is true. But I don’t quite understand why some funds are still raising money to save MIR when the final phase of the space station operation including its de-orbiting is already being implemented. |
About the role of manned space flight | |
Yu.P. SEMENOV: | I said this in the Duma and I repeat it now: manned space flight always leads the way. Whatever some people might say, this remains the most knowledge-intensive field of human endeavor, which works like an engine pulling all the other fields after itself.
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About continuing problems with providing funds for manned space flight |
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Yu.P. SEMENOV: | We have “slept away” the opportunity to save MIR. Now it’s too late. We are now on the brink of dropping out of the ISS project. Not because we’ll be expelled, but because we need 3 billion rubles, and we are only promised 1.4 billion.
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