New Space and Tech

Impacts of the Rise of Military Satellite Developments in Asia

By Omkar Nikam
SpaceRef
July 19, 2023
Filed under ,
Impacts of the Rise of Military Satellite Developments in Asia
Multiple countries in Asia have invested heavily in military satellites in recent years.
Image credit: CANVA Premium / Naratrip Boonroung.

The world’s most populated continent has long been embroiled in the nexus of global politics, but something has changed in the 21st century that has put this region on the world stage. That is the rapid innovative progress of the Asian space sector, in which military satellite developments have gained prominence in recent times.

Military satellites have become indispensable assets for nations all over the world, offering unmatched benefits in defense and security. Asia, more than other continents, has seen a considerable uptick in the production of military satellites. China, Japan, and India, followed by Australia, South Korea, New Zealand, and others, are quickly advancing their space technological capabilities in both commercial and military satellite sectors. In the next parts of the article, we will take a deep dive into the dynamic landscape of military satellite developments in Asia, exploring the various nations’ efforts, technological advancements, and the implications for regional and global security.

The rising significance of military satellites in Asia

Asia’s increased emphasis on boosting national security and attaining strategic goals is reflected in the region’s increasing focus on military satellites, which provide agencies with real-time information, and situational awareness, allowing for quick decision-making.

The other prime factor giving rise to these developments is the advancement of NewSpace technologies, an industry where products and services have improved while lowering in cost. Satellite communications, satellite-based earth observation, and satellite navigation — all these verticals have become a pathway for private commercial entities to participate and innovate due to the inception of NewSpace technologies.

Simultaneous with technological advances, complex geopolitical landscapes, and territorial disputes have spurred military satellite developments in Asia. One of the recent examples is Australia, which has close ties with the Asian space sector. The country has been dependent on the United States for satellite resources for decades, but due to the current geopolitical climate as well as efforts to boost its commercial private space sector, the Australian government approved the development of its first sovereign communication military satellite through a program called JP 9102. Though Lockheed Martin is the prime contractor for this project, companies like Gilmour Space Technologies are also involved in contributing towards the development of sovereign space capabilities.

Space market capacity development

Downstream satellite services have been prominent in the Asian region, even before NewSpace technologies gained prominence. Satellite broadcasting, direct-to-home (DTH) services, Geographic Information Services (GIS), and so forth have been widely popular in the region due to the vast consumer market.

Companies like Sky, a UK-based telecommunications company, also entered the Indian market to grab hold of the lucrative DTH market. Such satellite services from multiple space verticals have been flourishing in the Asian economies, but the upstream market development — or the development of industries related to satellite manufacturing and launches — is less developed in Asia, and getting it off the ground typically requires close monitoring and consistent investments from both public and private entities.

The development of a strong upstream space industry gives an upper hand to a given country in the international space industry, both by reinforcing a domestic supply chain and helping defense agencies develop their own assets rather than depending on foreign support. In the coming years, more countries are expected to develop and strategically invest in their own upstream markets as China, Japan, and India already have.

India is one of the nations which has recently sharpened its focus on military space applications. Since 2022, India has significantly invested in developing upstream space assets for its military, primarily by allocating satellites for each of its armed forces. With the recent and ongoing rise in NewSpace technologies, similar developments are expected in other Asian countries in this decade.

Rendering of satellite activity in Asia. Image credit: CANVA Premium / Muhammet Camdereli.

Regional security dynamics

The increasing emphasis on military satellite developments in Asia has significant implications for regional security dynamics. Some of the key pointers in this regional security analysis include:

  • Diplomatic challenges: Military satellite deployment might increase geopolitical tensions, complicating diplomatic relations between Asian nations. While tensions may be eased with the knowledge that military satellites are used only for security purposes, they can also be seen as a display of power.
  • Deterrence and stability: Greater stability in the area can result from the strategic deterrence effects of stronger space capabilities. Nations with sophisticated military satellites may be less prone to take risks because they know their rivals can watch and act quickly.
  • Reduced cooperation in space sciences research and development: As space becomes increasingly militarized, nations that previously collaborated, such as how the United States and Russia long worked together on the International Space Station (ISS) are unlikely to continue doing so. The Russia-Ukraine war eliminated the possibility that the two nations would still take a step toward cooperation in the science and technology fields. As geopolitical conflicts are affecting cooperation in space, in the coming years we might observe reduced cooperation.

Conclusion

Unquestionably, the pursuit of national security interests and regional domination is driving a change in military satellite projects in Asia. Governments and international organizations must communicate and work together to guarantee that space remains an area for peaceful exploration as nations in the region continue to invest in space technology.

For the future of military satellite advances in Asia and the overall state of international security, it will be essential to strike a balance between boosting defense capabilities and preserving regional stability.

Omkar Nikam

Omkar Nikam spearheads Access Hub, a research and analysis platform covering global space applications for military agencies, espionage, counterterrorism, and international security issues.