NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 12 Jul 2001

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jul 12 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The largest event during
the period was an optically uncorrelated B9.7 flare at 12/0255 UTC.
One new region was numbered: 9539 (S19E26).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low to low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
Class M    15/15/15
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Jul 134
Predicted   13 Jul-15 Jul  135/140/140
90 Day Mean        12 Jul 158
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul  005/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul  007/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul  008/010-008/010-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01