NOAA SEC Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 29 June 2001

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2001 Jun 28 2200 UT
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
#Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 179 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Jun 2001
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  The largest event was a C2/Sf
from Region 9512 (S22W68) at 27/2250 UTC.  Regions 9521 (S06E48) and
9522 (S08E66) were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet with occasional unsettled periods
possible.
III.  Event Probabilities 29 Jun-01 Jul
Class M    25/25/25
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           28 Jun 140
Predicted   29 Jun-01 Jul  135/130/130
90 Day Mean        28 Jun 168
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Jun  005/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Jun-01 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Jun-01 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01