Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 26 August 2013

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2013

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: ????

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: ????

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: ????

III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Aug 111
Predicted 27 Aug-29 Aug 105/100/100
90 Day Mean 26 Aug 114

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Aug 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10