Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 22 Jun 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Jun 22 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 173 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There are no spotted regions on the visible disk.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet.

III. Event Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 22 Jun 072
• Predicted 23 Jun-25 Jun 075/075/075
• 90 Day Mean 22 Jun 082

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jun 002/004
• Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jun 003/006
• Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jun-25 Jun

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 05/05/05
• Minor storm 01/01/01
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 20/20/20
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01