Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity 12 Mar 2006

Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Issued: 2006 Mar 12 2200 UTC
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 071 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Mar 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed over the past 24 hours. Newly numbered Region 858 (N18E15) is a Cro Beta group.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

III. Event Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar

• Class M 01/01/01
• Class X 01/01/01
• Proton 01/01/01
• PCAF green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

• Observed 12 Mar 073
• Predicted 13 Mar-15 Mar 073/073/075
• 90 Day Mean 12 Mar 081

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

• Observed Afr/Ap 11 Mar 009/012
• Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Mar 003/005
• Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar 005/005-007/008-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar

A. Middle Latitudes

• Active 10/15/15
• Minor storm 05/05/05
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01

B. High Latitudes

• Active 10/20/20
• Minor storm 05/10/10
• Major-severe storm 01/01/01